Fresno St
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 74.4326Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 823 A Kansas B12 ( 5- 7, 77.3) 7-31 830 H Georgia So SUN ( 8- 6, 71.2) 42-14 906 A Oregon St P12 ( 2-10, 62.9) 36-27 913 H Southern 56- 7 920 A Hawaii MIDW ( 8- 5, 76.2) 23-21 1004 H Nevada MIDW ( 4- 8, 71.4) 20-17 1010 A Colorado St MIDW ( 2-11, 64.4) 21-49 1025 H San Diego St MIDW ( 8- 5, 77.5) 0-23 1101 A Boise State MIDW ( 9- 4, 80.1) 30- 7 1115 H Wyoming MIDW ( 5- 7, 70.9) 24- 3 1122 H Utah St MIDW ( 7- 7, 75.5) 17-28 1129 A San Jose St MIDW ( 3- 9, 69.0) 41-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
823 A Kansas 7-31 -24 -8 -- -5.90
830 H Georgia So 42-14 28 8 ++ 5.51
906 A Oregon St 36-27 9 6 + 2.76
920 A Hawaii 23-21 2 -7 +++ 9.03
1004 H Nevada 20-17 3 8 -- -5.29
1010 A Colorado St 21-49 -28 5 --- -18.73
1025 H San Diego St 0-23 -23 2 --- -16.15
1101 A Boise State 30- 7 23 -11 +++ 24.91
1115 H Wyoming 24- 3 21 9 ++ 5.19
1122 H Utah St 17-28 -11 4 --- -15.16
1129 A San Jose St 41-14 27 0 +++ 13.81
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 A Colorado St 21-49 -28 5 --- -18.73 1025 H San Diego St 0-23 -23 2 --- -16.15 1122 H Utah St 17-28 -11 4 --- -15.16 823 A Kansas 7-31 -24 -8 -- -5.90 1004 H Nevada 20-17 3 8 -- -5.29 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A Hawaii 23-21 2 -7 +++ 9.03 1101 A Boise State 30- 7 23 -11 +++ 24.91 1129 A San Jose St 41-14 27 0 +++ 13.81 830 H Georgia So 42-14 28 8 ++ 5.51 1115 H Wyoming 24- 3 21 9 ++ 5.19 906 A Oregon St 36-27 9 6 + 2.76 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Kansas ( 5- 7, 77.3) 7-31 -22.62 28.60 5.26 1.16 -10.06
3 H Georgia So ( 8- 6, 71.2) 42-14 -28.70 22.52 -5.26 1.16 40.02
3 A Oregon St ( 2-10, 62.9) 36-27 -36.96 14.26 5.26 1.16 45.24
3 A Hawaii ( 8- 5, 76.2) 23-21 -23.70 27.52 5.26 1.16 76.00
3 H Nevada ( 4- 8, 71.4) 20-17 -28.49 22.73 -5.26 1.16 40.49
3 A Colorado St ( 2-11, 64.4) 21-49 -35.45 15.77 5.26 1.16 -17.50
3 H San Diego St ( 8- 5, 77.5) 0-23 -22.36 28.86 -5.26 1.16 -16.01
3 A Boise State ( 9- 4, 80.1) 30- 7 -19.81 31.41 5.26 1.16 85.00
3 H Wyoming ( 5- 7, 70.9) 24- 3 -29.02 22.20 -5.26 1.16 39.27
3 H Utah St ( 7- 7, 75.5) 17-28 -24.37 26.85 -5.26 1.16 -17.17
3 A San Jose St ( 3- 9, 69.0) 41-14 -30.92 20.30 5.26 1.16 59.25
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324.53
|
winning pts = 385.2671 losing points = -60.7357
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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